China is facing the prospect of an increasingly ageing and obese population that could adversely affect the country's economy, according to new reports.
A newspaper report on Monday blamed the Communist government's one-child policy for labour shortages that could undermine the so far endless supply of cheap workers that has underpinned China's extraordinary economic boom. A report, produced by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a top government think tank, said industry had yet to face up to the fact that incomes have not risen fast enough to support pensioners.Capitalism, the best economic system the world has ever created, has, in my opinion, two major flaws. One is the flaw that every socialist agrees on, that capitalism has no heart. It can stomp all over the poor, the weak, the homeless, and the ill-equipped. It will also, left unregulated, lead to pollution, unnecessary danger, and fraud. It is basically a dog-eat-dog, survival of the fittest system. Don’t get me wrong, I’m in favor of capitalism. It’s the only system that leads to economic prosperity. It just needs regulation and incentives to work for all the people, and for Mother Earth.
“In the not too distant future there will be a day when there is an end to the unlimited labour supply,” the state newspaper which quoted the report, the China Youth Daily said. “It is this that had been one of the most basic advantages of China's recent economic development.”
Family planning policies started in the late 1970s have prevented the birth of hundreds of millions, and signs of possible problems in the future can be seen in economic heartlands in Guangdong and near Shanghai where factories are already finding it hard to get workers.
The second flaw of capitalism, though, is one that only I see, as far as I am able to tell. I’ve not noticed any economist, socialist or capitalist, who will bring this up. It has to do with capitalism’s need for population growth. The big word in any economic report, whether it be that of a company, or of a country, is growth. Economies always have to be growing. GNP must be rising. Profits must be rising. A large component of growth, aside from productivity increases, comes simply from growth in population. GNP will rise as the population of a country rises. Profits will rise as a company enlarges its customer base. The more people, the better.
Now, two “nations” have been having their “problems” with population growth, China and the European Union. China imposed their one-child rules in order to stem population growth. It was their solution to one billion people. The unwanted side-effects, besides the ungodly invasion of privacy and dignity, were the murder of female babies, since males are favored over females, and now this trouble for China’s labor force. China has successfully transitioned, like few other nations, from communism to a form of capitalism. Their success, though, has been largely based on their supply of cheap labor, now threatened.
Europe has had a similar problem. Europe’s declining population growth, though, came from the “middle-class syndrome.” This is the seemingly natural phenomenon where upper income families have fewer babies than the lower classes. The same thing happened in the United States.
The U.S. solved its cheap labor problem through increased immigration. The capitalistic beast is fed by the honest labor of Mexican illegals. The result for the United States is a booming economy, but all the problems of a foreign invasion—including loss of jobs and wages for Americans, and the creation of a bilingual nation. In Europe, they solved their cheap labor problem by importing millions of Arabs. The problems for Europe include an ever-increasing Muslim population that will one day change Europe into a fundamentalist Islamic “nation.” The Muslims in Europe already have so much political power that they are able to affect national decisions, like whether to enter the war in Iraq, policies toward Israel and Palestine, Europe’s attitude about America, and even its feelings for George W. Bush.
Capitalism can be given a heart, through watchdog policies and regulation. The need for population growth and cheap labor is another matter, though. This is my one major gripe against capitalism. I think population growth should have a limit. I believe too many people drain the world’s resources, lead to pollution and overcrowding, clog our freeways, and will one day lead to a disaster, like when there is a world drought and millions will starve. The need for cheap labor also drives countries like America and Europe to rely on rampant immigration for growth. This unruly immigration does not allow for assimilation. Thus, America is bilingual, and Europe is bicultural. The unintended results are, Mexicans will take over the United States politically, and Muslims will do likewise in Europe.
My solution? My solution will never happen. It goes against nature, and capitalism is so very natural. My solution is to accept a lower growth rate in the economy. I suggest that we limit our growth aspirations in the economy to that part of growth which will come exclusively from productivity gains. Forget about population growth as an engine, and cheap labor. Give up this part of capitalism. Yeah right. And bluebirds will turn back into dinosaurs. I’m not dumb enough to imagine this will ever happen.
So, America will become a Mexican nation, and Europe will become a Muslim nation. China will just pass a law to start having babies again. And the world will grow and grow and grow, until the day our rivers turn black, and traffic on our freeways will start to go backwards.
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4 comments:
Rock wrote: The second flaw of capitalism, though, is one that only I see, as far as I am able to tell. I’ve not noticed any economist, socialist or capitalist, who will bring this up. It has to do with capitalism’s need for population growth. The big word in any economic report, whether it be that of a company, or of a country, is growth. Economies always have to be growing. GNP must be rising. Profits must be rising. A large component of growth, aside from productivity increases, comes simply from growth in population. GNP will rise as the population of a country rises. Profits will rise as a company enlarges its customer base. The more people, the better.
It's in the Econ books. It's called SUPPLY AND DEMAND.
If you've got the population base, you got the demand......So simple, what were you thinking, Rock?!! Did I miss something?
Rock, it's a rare day when I have felt you are COMPLETELY wrong about something. In fact, I don't think there is anything you've written before that I couldn't validate some aspect of and accept as a possibility, but the honeymoon is over my friend:
The problems for Europe include an ever-increasing Muslim population that will one day change Europe into a fundamentalist
Islamic “nation.” The Muslims in Europe already have so much political power that they are able to affect national decisions, like whether to enter the war in Iraq, policies toward Israel and Palestine, Europe’s attitude about America, and even its feelings for George W. Bush.
WRONG WRONG WRONG.
1) Very few (if any) politicians with REAL power in Europe are Arab or Muslim. Sure there are sizable populations in some areas of some European countries, but they pale in comparison to the numbers of non-Arabs/Muslims. We're talking 1-5% of the population in most places!
France 10%
UK 2.7%
Germany 3.7%
Greece 1.3%
Spain 3% at the MOST
Austria 4.2%
Norway 1.8%
Russia 10-15%
Netherlands 5.5%
(CIA world factbook)
https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/br.html
Do you really see the population of Rhode Island conducting a mass takeover of the ENTIRE continent of Europe with the Muslim crescent rising above the Eiffel tower and thousands of minarets built in the Alps? The political clout you speak so highly of exists only where a lot of Muslims live- usually the poorer areas of urban European cities and as we all know, the poor have little political clout. There is no "Muslim bloc" in any parlaiment, in any European country. There are no mass converts from Christianity to Islam. There are no armed demonstrations down Euopean streets (ala Hamas). In order for a "takeover" to occur, one needs a) money, b) political power, c)weapons, d)numbers. Islam doesn't have it. Need I go on? Your "Arab domination" (as is your "United States of Spanishspeakin' America") forecast is paranoia...
2) European policies toward Israel stem from historical disagreements with Israeli policies and tactics towards Palestinians AND a small dose of long standing covert anti-semitism. Toss in good economic relationships with Arab countries and you have (TA-DA), little to no support for Israel.
3) Decisions for European powers to pass on sending troops to Iraq were based on economics (remember those good money relations?), common sense and a lack of will to have their soldiers die for a cause that is STILL clouded by doubts and ever changing rationales. Do you REALLY think those countries who opted out of Iraq did so at the behest of their small, mostly poor Muslim communities with no political clout? That's like me bombing a school because Willy Homelessman suggested it.
4) European sentiment towards Americans stems not from Arab influence, but from personal encounters with guess who? AMERICANS. The major complaint I've heard from foreigners is that Americans are arrogant (I've heard Americans say that about the French, the English and New Yorkers.) Let's think about where they'd get that impression...Well, when many Americans travel, they assume that people EVERYWHERE speak English. Wrong. I've personally heard many a travelling American use s-l-o-w English assuming that the Spanish or French speaker in front of them will understand- THEN get mad and say it S-L-O-W-E-R expecting results. Arrogance my friend, not Arabs...
5) The world (not JUST Europe)disliking your president is not due to Muslims and Arabs controlling the international media waves (which they don't), or them burning him in effigy (which they do), or that Europeans are getting peer pressure from Muslims, or because Muslims write books about all the grammatically incorrect things he says when speaking publically ("Bushisms" $7.99 Barnes and Noble...) They don't like him because he typifies everything that people view negatively about the country. He's proven to be an arrogant fool. Hell, I don't like him. Was it because of some Arab I was talking to on the street? Nooooo, it's because his policies have run the country into the ground economically, isolated the country from the world, began infringing on civil liberties and privacy, and lowered environmental standards (among a host of others.)
Needless to say, your conservative "Eurabia" theory is a Red Herring, a scapegoat, a feminine face in a grilled cheese sandwich (I'm glad you liked that entry!). If there was more data to back your claims, I might give you some leeway, but I'm afraid, you're dead wrong on this one.
By the way, I'll take you up on the offer to be a guest on my blog and vice versa. I think it'll be interesting....
Lynn,
It's in the Econ books. It's called SUPPLY AND DEMAND.
I'm not saying I don't understand the principle of supply and demand. I'm saying that this reliance on population growth for a part of GNP growth is a mistake. I'm saying we should give up some growth in order to have a higher quality life. When are we going to stop growing? When the whole world looks like Tokyo, with people living in cubicles? The principle of supply and demand needs to be supplemented with a factor for the quality of life.
By the way, I'll be in contact with you and paz over the post writing deal. It will be fun.
Rock
paz y amour, thanks for commenting. As always, you are welcome. You also have the right to disagree, even completely.
Let me comment on your suppositions:
1) Very few (if any) politicians with REAL power in Europe are Arab or Muslim. Sure there are sizable populations in some areas of some European countries, but they pale in comparison to the numbers of non-Arabs/Muslims. We're talking 1-5% of the population in most places!
France 10%
UK 2.7%
Germany 3.7%
Greece 1.3%
Spain 3% at the MOST
Austria 4.2%
Norway 1.8%
Russia 10-15%
Netherlands 5.5%
(CIA world factbook)
What you are forgetting, my friend, are several things. First, the birthrate, which is, for Muslims, about 50% higher than for Europeans. Second, the rate of immigration, including bringing over 2nd cousins and aunts--which is staggering. Third, look at the problems in London. They certainly think the Muslim situation is serious. Fourth, when you get to 10% of the population, as in France, that's a huge voting block. Fifth, these people are not assimilating. Sixth, this immigration is a planned exodus, similar to our Mexican problem, with groups planning to increase it over time, and with a goal towards more political power.
paz, on some of your other points I cannot even comment. They seem like we are viewing two different planets. For example, it's because his policies have run the country into the ground economically, are you out of your mind? Do liberals ever read the financial pages? We've had one of the best economies in the world the last few years, and this despite having come through 9/11 and Katrina. Low unemployment, low interest rates, a steady rise in GNP, more people owning homes than at any time in history--the economy couldn't be any better or we'd have high inflation. Stop reading just your liberal rags, and start reading the Wall Street Journal, Forbes, Business Week, hell, even the New York Times financial section.
This is a perfect example of liberal myths. Unbelievable!
Anyway, I'll have to just let us disagree on the rest of your points. This does show, quite clearly, the divide we have in our nation, and we're on starkly different sides on some issues.
Always good to hear from you. I look forward to the swapping posts thing. I only have extra time now on weekends, so I'll get back to you on this on Saturday. In the meantime, have a good week.
Rock
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